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OpenAI and ChatGPT 2025–2026: what happened and why it matters

A year of faster model releases, agent products, unprecedented capital bets and lawsuits that are shaping the course of OpenAI and ChatGPT.

Topic guide · OpenAI and ChatGPT

Between August 2025 and September 2026, OpenAI went from a stumbling GPT-5 launch to a near-monthly model cadence, turned ChatGPT into an agent platform and funded the race with other people's debt, advertising and preparations for a public listing, while lawsuits, security incidents and competition piled up.

FalconSigned by Falcon, Signals analystUpdated on
60articles analysed
15outlets consulted
Jul 2025 – Sep 2026period covered
$1.4 trillionplanned infrastructure investment
42state attorneys general investigating the company
$100Mannualized ChatGPT ad revenue after six weeks
Timeline

What happened and when

  1. GPT-5 arrives with faulty charts

    OpenAI unveils GPT-5 as the successor to GPT-4 after two years. The launch livestream included charts with wrong scales and comparisons, which Altman acknowledged and which were corrected in the blog post.

    theverge.comView in the archive
  2. ChatGPT will try to estimate user age

    After lawsuits linking the chatbot to several suicides, OpenAI tightens safeguards: it will estimate users' ages and, in some cases, may ask for ID to confirm they are adults.

    yro.slashdot.orgView in the archive
  3. The Atlas browser is born

    OpenAI launches ChatGPT Atlas for macOS, with memory and an agent mode that can book flights or edit documents. A week later a flaw is reported that let attackers plant persistent hidden commands.

  4. The infrastructure figure: $1.4 trillion

    Altman clarifies that the company plans to invest about $1.4 trillion in roughly 30 gigawatts of data centers, aiming eventually to add a gigawatt of new capacity every week.

    slashdot.orgView in the archive
  5. Court orders 20 million logs handed over

    A federal judge upholds the order that OpenAI must produce 20 million de-identified ChatGPT conversations to the news organizations suing it over copyright; the plaintiffs also seek sanctions.

    arstechnica.comView in the archive
  6. Codex becomes a mass-market product

    GPT-5.3-Codex ships the same day as Anthropic's coding model, and the standalone Codex app for Mac passes one million downloads in its first week, helped by a free promotion.

    venturebeat.comView in the archive
  7. Pentagon deal after Anthropic is blocked

    OpenAI agrees to deploy its models in classified military systems hours after the government ordered federal agencies to stop using Anthropic's technology.

    thenextweb.comView in the archive
  8. GPT-5.4 and native computer use

    GPT-5.4 arrives just two days after GPT-5.3 Instant, with native computer use through the API and Codex and a claimed gain on professional tasks. A robotics resignation over the military deal clouds the month.

  9. Ads take off; SoftBank borrows

    The ChatGPT advertising pilot tops $100 million annualized in six weeks. Meanwhile SoftBank secures a $40 billion bridge loan to support its OpenAI bet.

  10. Microsoft loses exclusivity; AWS arrives

    Microsoft and OpenAI rewrite their deal so OpenAI can sell on other clouds. Days later Amazon Web Services adds its models to Bedrock, and GPT-5.5 appears a month after GPT-5.4.

    venturebeat.comslashdot.orgView in the archive
  11. Anthropic overtakes OpenAI in business

    The May Ramp AI Index puts Anthropic's business adoption above OpenAI's for the first time, while OpenAI's share has slipped; Anthropic itself is reportedly in talks on a new funding round.

  12. Confidential IPO filing and a state probe

    Days after the confidential IPO filing of June 8, a coalition of 42 attorneys general, led by New York, opens an investigation into advertising, minors' data and pre-release safety testing.

    thenextweb.comView in the archive
  13. GPT-5.6 Sol, for approved partners only

    OpenAI introduces the GPT-5.6 family in three tiers, but Sol is offered only to about 20 partners approved one by one by the US government, after an administration request on cybersecurity grounds.

  14. Hints of a GPT-6 surface

    A September report points to a possible GPT-6 called Astra, but offers no concrete details on capabilities, date or access.

    news.google.comView in the archive
Analysis

The threads that matter

Models at a near-monthly pace

The first thing to notice is speed. GPT-5 arrived in August 2025 after a two-year wait since GPT-4, and its launch was marred by faulty charts that Altman himself admitted. Within six months the calendar had compressed: GPT-5.3-Codex in February, GPT-5.4 in March, only two days after GPT-5.3 Instant, and GPT-5.5 in April, barely a month later.

Each step came with a concrete promise. GPT-5.4 added native computer use, letting agents operate applications, and on OpenAI's internal GDPval test across 44 occupations it matched or beat professionals in 83% of comparisons. Another outlet adds that it uses up to 47% fewer tokens on some tasks.

In June the GPT-5.6 family split into three tiers, Sol, Terra and Luna. Sol, the most powerful, shipped with an unprecedented restriction: about 20 partners approved individually by the US government, at the government's request and on cybersecurity grounds. Along the same lines, security-focused models have been released first in pilot programs with selected partners.

Archive articles on this
  • GPT-5 Unveiling the Smarter Faster ChatGPT Update Whats New
  • OpenAIs GPT-5 Launch Marred by Mega Chart Screwup A Deep Dive
  • Guerra de IA OpenAI y Anthropic Lanza Nuevos Modelos
  • GPT-54 de OpenAI Rompe Records Profesionales
  • OpenAI Unveils GPT-55 Smarter Coding and Efficiency
  • OpenAI Unveils GPT-54 Computer Use Financial Plugins

From chatbot to agent platform

The product changed nature. ChatGPT stopped being just a chat window: the Atlas browser arrived with memory and agent mode, the Codex app became a command center for several coding agents and, later, Workspace Agents for business replaced custom GPTs. In May OpenAI merged ChatGPT, Codex and the API under Greg Brockman to build a single agent platform.

The partnerships point the same way. ServiceNow is embedding OpenAI agents in its enterprise software under a three-year deal; Visa supplies tokenized credentials so agents can buy things; and Plaid links bank accounts to ChatGPT for Pro subscribers in the United States. The paid lineup also widened, with a $100-a-month Pro plan that offers five times the Codex limits of the $20 plan.

The expansion also opens a monetization front: the advertising pilot passed $100 million annualized in six weeks with more than 600 advertisers, although fewer than 20% of eligible users see ads on a given day.

Archive articles on this
  • OpenAI Lanza Navegador con IA Memoria y Agente
  • Codex App Hits 1M Downloads AI Coding Gets Limits
  • OpenAI Lanza Workspace Agents Revolucion Empresarial IA
  • OpenAI Unifica ChatGPT Codex El Futuro es Aqui
  • OpenAI y ServiceNow IA Directa en tu Empresa
  • AI Agents to Shop and Pay OpenAI and Visa Partnership

Capital, chips and cloud alliances

Sustaining that pace takes money on a new scale. Altman put the infrastructure plan at about $1.4 trillion and some 30 gigawatts, with partners such as AMD, Broadcom, Nvidia and Oracle. SoftBank took a $40 billion bridge loan, the largest in dollars in its history, to fund its stake, and financial outlets reported on a listing that could value OpenAI at $1 trillion.

The alliance structure changed too. In April Microsoft and OpenAI loosened exclusivity: OpenAI can serve its products on any cloud, and AWS added its models to Bedrock alongside other providers, following an Amazon investment that one source puts at $50 billion. In parallel OpenAI unveiled its first in-house chip with Broadcom, aimed at inference and developed in just nine months, and geopolitics reached the Stargate campus in Abu Dhabi, which Iran's Revolutionary Guard threatened.

Archive articles on this
  • OpenAI Inversion Billonaria en Infraestructura Datos y IA
  • SoftBank Prestamo Gigante de 40B para Apostar a OpenAI
  • OpenAIs 1 Trillion IPO Worth The Risk
  • Microsoft y OpenAI Rompen Su Acuerdo Exclusivo
  • Amazon y OpenAI Nueva Era en la Nube
  • OpenAI Lanza Su Primer Chip de IA

Lawsuits, security and political weight

Growth came with a growing legal load. Lawsuits linking the chatbot to suicides pushed OpenAI to estimate users' ages; a federal court required it to hand over 20 million conversations to the news organizations suing it; Britannica accuses it of using nearly 100,000 articles to train its models; and authors want answers about the deletion of two book datasets. Elon Musk, meanwhile, continues his suit over the company's turn toward profit.

The security of the ecosystem made news as well: a flaw in Atlas allowed persistent hidden commands, OpenAI revoked macOS signing certificates after a malicious package entered its delivery pipeline, and an npm package for Codex with 29,000 weekly downloads stole developer tokens for a month. As a defensive response, ChatGPT gained a Lockdown Mode that blocks outbound data paths.

The link with public power was the most delicate development. The Pentagon deal prompted the head of robotics to resign, and in June 42 attorneys general opened an investigation into the company.

Archive articles on this
  • ChatGPT Adivinara tu Edad y Pedira Identificacion
  • News Orgs Gain ChatGPT Logs Demand More Deleted Data
  • Britannica demanda a OpenAI por plagio y marca registrada
  • OpenAI Datos piratas borrados ocultando algo
  • Musk vs OpenAI Duelo Legal por el Futuro de la IA
  • ChatGPT Atlas Exploit Hidden Commands and Browser Security

A contested lead in business

Competition stopped being theoretical. According to the May Ramp AI Index, 34.4% of US businesses were using Anthropic against 32.3% for OpenAI, whose adoption had fallen; a year earlier the split was 32% to 8% in OpenAI's favor. Anthropic is also reportedly in talks on a $30 billion round at a valuation above $900 billion.

On the flanks, Meta weighed setting aside open source to compete with OpenAI and Google, and a compact Alibaba model beat gpt-oss-120B on several benchmarks while being more than 13 times smaller. Against that pressure OpenAI strengthened its roster by hiring Noam Shazeer, a co-author of the Transformer paper, from Google, and reportedly pays employees about $1.5 million on average in stock.

Archive articles on this
  • Anthropic Supera a OpenAI Liderazgo IA o Amenazas Pendientes
  • Anthropic busca 30B supera a OpenAI
  • ¿Adios al código Abierto? Meta Considera Cambiar su Estrategia de IA para Competir con OpenAI.
  • Alibabas Tiny AI Model Outshines OpenAIs
  • Gemini de Google pierde a su arquitecto clave OpenAI lo ficha
  • OpenAI Paga Mas Empleados Millonarios en IA
What it means

Why it matters and what to watch

Distribution without exclusivity

With Microsoft and Amazon both selling its models, the question shifts from who hosts them to which platform governs a customer's data, security and costs.

Launches under public oversight

A US government request for staged access to a frontier model sets a precedent: watch whether that kind of access list becomes the norm.

Monetization under scrutiny

Advertising, agent payments and banking data widen revenue, but they coincide with a state investigation and a pending listing.

The business lead is no longer its own

If Anthropic keeps its pace with companies, OpenAI's position will depend more on its agent platform than on any single model release.

Our view

What we think

What strikes us is not any single model but the gap between what OpenAI is building and what it can sustain. It ships faster than anyone, opens the door to every cloud and funds itself through third-party debt, advertising and listing expectations, while piling up lawsuits, supply-chain incidents and a military agreement that has already cost it talent. Our reading is that the edge is no longer measured by the latest benchmark but by the ability to offer agents that are reliable, safe and cheap to run. In our view a prudent customer should demand traceability, controls on outbound data and a clear contractual exit before resting critical processes on a single platform.
Falcon, Signals analyst
Archive articles

Everything we published on this topic

60 stories from Jul 2025 to Sep 2026, by month. These are the original articles this guide rests on; each one links to its source.

September 2026 · 1 article
  • OpenAIs GPT-6 Astra The Future of AI Unveiled
    Source: news.google.com
June 2026 · 13 articles
  • GPT-56 Sol IA Avanzada con Seguridad Cibernetica Reforzada
    ESSource: thehackernews.com
  • GPT-56 Sol Terra Luna Desatan Nuevos Poderes de IA
    ESSource: venturebeat.com
  • OpenAI lanza GPT-56 Sol con aprobacion gubernamental
    ESSource: thenextweb.com
  • EEUU pide a OpenAI retrasar lanzamiento de IA
    ESSource: thenextweb.com
  • OpenAI Lanza Su Primer Chip de IA
    ESSource: hardware.slashdot.org
  • OpenAI Broadcoms Jalapeno LLM Inference Chip Unveiled
    Source: arstechnica.com
  • OpenAI Launches GPT-55-Cyber for Security Defenders
    Source: thehackernews.com
  • Gemini de Google pierde a su arquitecto clave OpenAI lo ficha
    ESSource: thenextweb.com
  • OpenAI Faces 42 AGs Probe Amid IPO Rush
    Source: thenextweb.com
  • AI Agents to Shop and Pay OpenAI and Visa Partnership
    Source: thenextweb.com
  • Modo Aislamiento OpenAI Adios Fuga de Datos IA
    ESSource: elladodelmal.com
  • ChatGPTs Lockdown Mode Blocks Data Theft Attacks
    Source: thenextweb.com
  • Herramienta OpenAI Codex Robaba Tokens de Desarrolladores
    ESSource: thenextweb.com
May 2026 · 5 articles
  • OpenAI IA de Vanguardia para Ciberseguridad Bancaria en Japon
    ESSource: thenextweb.com
  • OpenAI Unifica ChatGPT Codex El Futuro es Aqui
    ESSource: thenextweb.com
  • ChatGPT Tu Banco Ahora en Conversacion Inteligente
    ESSource: thenextweb.com
  • Anthropic Supera a OpenAI Liderazgo IA o Amenazas Pendientes
    ESSource: venturebeat.com
  • Anthropic busca 30B supera a OpenAI
    ESSource: thenextweb.com
April 2026 · 10 articles
  • Amazon y OpenAI Nueva Era en la Nube
    ESSource: venturebeat.com
  • Microsoft y OpenAI Rompen Su Acuerdo Exclusivo
    ESSource: venturebeat.com
  • Musk vs OpenAI Duelo Legal por el Futuro de la IA
    ESSource: news.google.com
  • OpenAI Unveils GPT-55 Smarter Coding and Efficiency
    Source: slashdot.org
  • OpenAI Lanza Workspace Agents Revolucion Empresarial IA
    ESSource: venturebeat.com
  • OpenAI Certificados macOS Inseguros por Ataque Axios
    ES
  • OpenAI Musk Inyecta Caos Legal en la Inteligencia Artificial
    ESSource: news.google.com
  • ChatGPT Pro Mas Limites Codex para Desarrolladores
    ESSource: venturebeat.com
  • OpenAIs AI Security Move Limited Cyber Model Release
    Source: it.slashdot.org
  • Iran Targets OpenAIs 30bn AI Hub Stargate Under Threat
    Source: thenextweb.com
March 2026 · 10 articles
  • OpenAIs ChatGPT Ads 100M Revenue in 6 Weeks
    Source: news.slashdot.org
  • SoftBank Prestamo Gigante de 40B para Apostar a OpenAI
    ESSource: thenextweb.com
  • Britannica demanda a OpenAI por plagio y marca registrada
    ESSource: yro.slashdot.org
  • Jefa de Robotica de OpenAI Renuncia por Acuerdo con el Pentagono
    ESSource: thenextweb.com
  • OpenAI Codex Detecta 10561 Vulnerabilidades de Seguridad
    ESSource: thehackernews.com
  • OpenAI Unveils GPT-54 Computer Use Financial Plugins
    Source: venturebeat.com
  • GPT-54 de OpenAI Rompe Records Profesionales
    ESSource: thenextweb.com
  • OpenAI Launches GPT-54 for Advanced Knowledge Work
    Source: arstechnica.com
  • Alibabas Tiny AI Model Outshines OpenAIs
    Source: venturebeat.com
  • Sam Altman Clarifies OpenAI Pentagon Deal Anthropic Threats
    Source: news.slashdot.org
February 2026 · 4 articles
  • OpenAI Lands Pentagon AI Deal Amidst Rival Ban
    Source: thenextweb.com
  • OpenAI Mejora API Mas Habilidades y Terminal para Agentes
    ESSource: venturebeat.com
  • Codex App Hits 1M Downloads AI Coding Gets Limits
    Source: venturebeat.com
  • Guerra de IA OpenAI y Anthropic Lanza Nuevos Modelos
    ESSource: venturebeat.com
January 2026 · 4 articles
  • OpenAI y ServiceNow IA Directa en tu Empresa
    ESSource: slashdot.org
  • ChatGPTs Goodnight Moon Suicide Lullaby Lawsuit
    Source: arstechnica.com
  • News Orgs Gain ChatGPT Logs Demand More Deleted Data
    Source: arstechnica.com
  • OpenAI Paga Mas Empleados Millonarios en IA
    ESSource: slashdot.org
December 2025 · 2 articles
  • OpenAI Gemini Claude Agentes IA en Investigacion Profunda
    ESSource: blog.bytebytego.com
  • OpenAI Datos piratas borrados ocultando algo
    ESSource: arstechnica.com
October 2025 · 5 articles
  • OpenAIs 1 Trillion IPO Worth The Risk
    Source: arstechnica.com
  • OpenAI Inversion Billonaria en Infraestructura Datos y IA
    ESSource: slashdot.org
  • ChatGPT Atlas Exploit Hidden Commands and Browser Security
    Source: thehackernews.com
  • OpenAI Lanza Navegador con IA Memoria y Agente
    ESSource: tech.slashdot.org
  • OpenAI Deepfakes de Amigos en Nueva App
    ESSource: tech.slashdot.org
September 2025 · 2 articles
  • ChatGPT California multa historico por citas falsas
    ESSource: yro.slashdot.org
  • ChatGPT Adivinara tu Edad y Pedira Identificacion
    ESSource: yro.slashdot.org
August 2025 · 3 articles
  • Elon Musk vs Sam Altman La Explosiva Pelea por el Dominio de la IA y el Drama en X
    ESSource: arstechnica.com
  • GPT-5 Unveiling the Smarter Faster ChatGPT Update Whats New
  • OpenAIs GPT-5 Launch Marred by Mega Chart Screwup A Deep Dive
    Source: theverge.com
July 2025 · 1 article
  • ¿Adios al código Abierto? Meta Considera Cambiar su Estrategia de IA para Competir con OpenAI.
    ESSource: hipertextual.com
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This guide synthesises 60 stories published on La Rebelión between Jul 2025 and Sep 2026. It is written with AI assistance and editorial review, following the process described in Editorial process.